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Nieuws | Demand for property decreases, property prices fall slightly

Demand for property decreases, property prices fall slightly

Demand for property decreases, property prices fall slightly

Home sales in Belgium fell in the first three months of this year, according to the latest Notary Barometer. Nationwide, 7.3 per cent fewer homes were sold than in the same period last year. In Flanders, the drop was 8.8 per cent. Property prices for both houses and flats fell slightly, taking inflation into account. 

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Antwerp experienced the biggest drop with 10.8 per cent fewer house sales. The property market also struggled in Limburg (-9.6 per cent), West Flanders (-9 per cent) and Flemish Brabant (-7.3 per cent). East Flanders limited the decline to 6.4%. In Wallonia, sales fell 6.5 per cent in the first quarter. In Brussels, the number of transactions remained almost stable with a drop of only 0.8 per cent.

No reason for pessimism

‘The demand side remains somewhat stuck,’ Bart van Opstal, Fednot spokesman, explains the declining trend. ‘Supply in Belgium is generally sufficient. What is striking is that the number of transactions has fallen back to the same level as in corona year 2020.’

Van Opstal stresses that the reduced demand for property this time also leads to lower prices when inflation is removed. ‘Last year we saw a significant drop in sales - in Flanders almost 17 per cent - but prices did not fall, which was exceptional.’

Van Opstal sees no reason for pessimism. ‘Compared to the Netherlands, we have a stable market in Belgium with no major slippages. The market is driven by private individuals and less by professional property investors. Private individuals are usually not in a hurry to sell, so prices will not fall quickly.’

Slight drop in prices

At first glance, prices seem to be rising slightly, but this is mainly due to inflation. In Belgium, a house cost an average of 328,187 euros in the first quarter, 1.7 per cent more than the 2023 annual average. But taking inflation into account, this was a price drop of 0.6 per cent.

In Flanders, the average price of a house rose 2.4 per cent to 367,120 euros. Adjusted for inflation, the price remained almost stable, with a minuscule increase of 0.1 per cent. In Wallonia, there was a slight drop in real terms (-0.3 per cent to 239,886 euros), and in Brussels the drop was more pronounced (-3.1 per cent to 545,210 euros). A flat cost an average of 268,256 euros, 1.3 per cent more than the annual average in 2023, representing a price drop of 1 per cent after adjusting for inflation.

In Flanders, the average price of a flat rose 1.2 per cent to 279,811 euros, but fell 1.1 per cent after adjusting for inflation. In Wallonia, the price drop was larger, while in Brussels the price rose (+0.7 per cent after adjusting for inflation, to 288,878 euros). 

Average age of buyers rises

Lower interest from younger buyers depressed the number of transactions. The average age of buyers in the first quarter was 39.6 years. Buyers aged 30 or younger accounted for 27.1 per cent of transactions, up from 29.3 per cent last year.

According to Van Opstal, many young people brought forward their purchase plans when interest rates were low in 2022. ‘We also saw that in the figures. Sales to young people were slightly above 30 per cent then, but those buyers are now out of the market. Young people are now speculating that interest rates will fall again and may consider buying in the second half of the year.’

Less new construction

The share of new-build flats in sales declined further. In 2023, 14.8 per cent of flats were new construction, but in the first quarter of 2024, it was only 10.3 per cent. In 2019, this was still more than double: 22 per cent. Of the new-build flats sold, 76 per cent were in Flanders, 20 per cent in Wallonia and 4 per cent in Brussels.

In Belgium, a new-build flat cost an average of 326,896 euros in the first three months of this year, 0.5 per cent more than in 2023. An existing flat cost an average of 261,449 euros, up 2.5 per cent. 

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